![]() In 2016, a report from the National Academies of Sciences concluded that of the connections between human-caused climate change and extreme weather events, heat waves had among the most straightforward ties. A study published in 2004 found human influence "at least doubled the risk" of a heat wave of that magnitude.īy 2010, when a historically intense heat wave killed 50,000 people in Russia, the risk of such an event was tripled due to climate change, according to a study published in 2012. Heat domes, the sprawling zones of high pressure at high altitudes that essentially bake the air underneath them, have strengthened.ĭuring the European heat wave in 2003, blamed for 70,000 deaths, the average temperature was higher than any year since at least 1851. ![]() Since those prescient projections 30-to-40-plus years ago, heat waves all over the world have intensified. "It appears that the warming will eventually occur, and the associated regional climatic changes so important to the assessment of socioeconomic consequences may well be significant," the report said. Hansen used the analogy of "loaded dice" to describe how climate change would increase the likelihood of extremely hot weather in a given year while decreasing the chance of unusually cold weather.Įven before that, in 1979, the National Research Council published a study led by the late meteorologist Jule Charney that predicted serious global warming would evolve.
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